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caale / weekly brief / standout
Latest completed report
Positions as of Tue 3 Nov 2026Released Fri 6 Nov 2026

Standout market

Nasdaq-100 NQ

Bearish positioning contrast

Commercials · net short8.62 pctl
Smaller traders (non-reportable) · net long98.47 pctl

Percentile: 0 is the low end of its own history, 100 the high end.

  • CommercialsNet short · held 12 weeks
  • Smaller traders (non-reportable)Net long · held 13 weeks
Confidence
High
Quality
8.9/10

15 markets checked · 1 standout · 14 other markets checked: no standout this week

Context only, never a trigger.How to read this

Source
CFTC COT
Release
Fri · weekly
Coverage
FX · metals · energy · indices · rates

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COT Weekly Standout

CAALE flagged the NQ positioning last week. This week the market followed through.

Research context from the Commitments of Traders report, shown next to this week's price moves.

caale / last week / NQ positioning signal
Released Fri 30 Oct 2026

Positions as of Tuesday 27 October 2026

Bearish positioning contrast

Commercials · net short7.1 pctl
Smaller traders (non-reportable) · net long92.9 pctl
Confidence
High
Quality
9.1/10

Historical percentile against its own 10-year history: 0 low end, 100 high end.

caale / this week / NQ price
Approximate

Nasdaq-100 futures (NQ)

~27,128

Thursday 5 November 2026, US session · Approximate market data, not a live tick feed

  • Day-5.0%
  • Week-9.0%
  • Month-14.3%

Approximate % change in NQ futures price over each period.

  1. 01 · Tue 27 Oct

    Positions recorded by the CFTC

  2. 02 · Fri 30 Oct

    Report published. CAALE flags NQ bearish positioning contrast

  3. 03 · This week

    NQ follows through lower, about -9% on the week

Context only, never a trigger. CAALE did not cause this move and did not predict its size or timing. Past follow-through does not guarantee future results. Not financial advice.

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